Tampa Bay Lightning prospects
Every player in the Tampa Bay Lightning's system who still counts as a rookie, ranked by what he is likely to become: the odds he turns into an NHL regular, and how good the players most like him turned out to be. Draft position starts the estimate; what he does after the draft takes it over.
Prospects and the Tampa Bay Lightning'sNHL players aged 23 and under, scored on the same scale. A regular's odds are high because he is already there; his score says how good the players like him became.
| # | Player | Age | Drafted | This season | NHL odds | Impact odds | WAR if he sticks | ETA | Score | Week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conor GeekieC · NHL · NHL | 22 | 2022 · #11 | 17 GP · 4-0-4 | ||||||
| 2 | Benjamin RautiainenC · Liiga | 21 | 2025 · #108 | 11 GP · 2-3-5 | ▼5 | |||||
| 3 | Oleg KulebiakinR · QMJHL | 18 | 2026 · #52 | 15 GP · 3-10-13 | ▲3 | |||||
| 4 | Tomas KralovicD · Slovakia | 21 | 2026 · #90 | 8 GP · 0-1-1 AHL | ▲8 | |||||
| 5 | Sam O'ReillyR · AHL | 20 | 2024 · #32 | 12 GP · 2-2-4 | ▼61 | |||||
| 6 | Ethan CzataC · OHL | 19 | 2025 · #56 | 16 GP · 9-10-19 | ▲10 | |||||
| 7 | Joona SaarelainenC · Liiga | 20 | 2024 · #149 | 18 GP · 7-1-8 | ▲16 | |||||
| 8 | Stepan ShuryginG · OHL | 19 | 2026 · #186 | 6 GP · .867 | ▲9 | |||||
| 9 | Ethan GauthierR · AHL | 21 | 2023 · #37 | 11 GP · 1-3-4 | ▼40 | |||||
| 10 | Everett BaldwinD · NCAA | 19 | 2025 · #151 | 6 GP · 0-1-1 | ▲1 | |||||
| 11 | Caleb HeilG · NCAA | 20 | 2025 · #193 | 3 GP · .934 | ▲1 | |||||
| 12 | Cooper SollerC · USHL | 18 | 2026 · #154 | 16 GP · 9-3-12 | ▼14 | |||||
| 13 | Jayson ShaugabayR · NCAA | 21 | 2023 · #115 | 12 GP · 1-12-13 | ▲2 | |||||
| 14 | Noah SteenL · AHL | 22 | 2024 · #199 | 10 GP · 2-0-2 | ▼90 | |||||
| 15 | Dylan DukeL · AHL | 23 | 2021 · #126 | 12 GP · 2-5-7 | ▼29 | |||||
| 16 | Marco MignosaR · NCAA | 21 | 2025 · #215 | 6 GP · 1-1-2 | ▼1 | |||||
| 17 | Max VilenD · QMJHL | 20 | 2026 · #218 | 14 GP · 0-1-1 | ▼33 | |||||
| 18 | Morgan AnderbergC · SHL | 18 | 2026 · #134 | 12 GP · 0-1-1 | ▼10 | |||||
| 19 | Joe ConnorL · NCAA | 21 | 2024 · #195 | 6 GP · 0-4-4 | ▼5 | |||||
| 20 | Milo RoelensC · ECHL | 23 | Undrafted | 6 GP · 1-2-3 | ▲2 | |||||
| 21 | Harrison MeneghinG · ECHL | 22 | 2024 · #206 | 14 GP · .889 | ▲3 | |||||
| 22 | Klavs VeinbergsL · NCAA | 23 | 2022 · #224 | 10 GP · 2-4-6 | ▲10 | |||||
| 23 | Grant SpadaD · OHL | 19 | 2025 · #212 | 16 GP · 2-5-7 | ▲12 | |||||
| 24 | Roman LuttsevC · VHL | 20 | 2025 · #206 | 17 GP · 4-1-5 | ▼18 | |||||
| 25 | Aiden FosterC · WHL | 19 | 2025 · #127 | 10 GP · 7-4-11 | ▲24 | |||||
| 26 | Ethan HayC · NCAA | 21 | 2023 · #211 | 10 GP · 3-0-3 | ▼32 | |||||
| 27 | Dyllan GillD · ECHL | 22 | 2022 · #223 | 5 GP · 1-4-5 AHL | ▼8 | |||||
| 28 | Hagen BurrowsR · NCAA | 20 | 2024 · #128 | 8 GP · 1-3-4 | ▼7 | |||||
| 29 | Gabriel SzturcC · AHL | 22 | Undrafted | 8 GP · 2-2-4 | ▼8 | |||||
| 30 | Connor KurthR · ECHL | 23 | 2022 · #192 | 8 GP · 2-1-3 | ▼9 | |||||
| 31 | Cooper FlintonL · AHL | 23 | 2021 · #211 | 6 GP · 0-0-0 | ▼9 | |||||
| 32 | Warren ClarkD · NCAA | 22 | 2023 · #179 | 2 GP · 0-0-0 | – | |||||
| 33 | Jack HarveyL · NCAA | 23 | 2023 · #193 | 10 GP · 1-6-7 | ▼1 |
NHL odds are the chance he becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by age 26, or 100 by 27 for a goalie. Impact odds are the chance he becomes better than the typical regular at his position. WAR if he sticks is the middle outcome among his comparables who made it. The score is a percentile of the expected outcome across every prospect in the league, so forwards, defensemen and goalies sit on one scale. The rankings update every night. Week is the change in his league rank since October 29. Goalie projections are the least certain on the page: goaltending develops late and the history behind it is thin. How the rankings work