WARpath BuffaloWARpath BuffaloWARpath BuffaloWARpath Buffalo
Vadim Moroz
Right wing · UTA · AHL

Vadim Moroz

Age
22
Height
6'2"
Weight
185 lb
Shoots
R
Drafted
2023, round 3, 88th overall
Born
BLR
2026-27
AHL · Tucson Roadrunners
Games
4
Goals
3
Assists
1
Points
4
Prospect score · 2026-27
High end

91st of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

4th in the UTA system · 3rd among its forwards

+1.0WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds40%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26
Impact odds22%Better than the typical NHL regular among forwards
Arrival2028-29The season his comps who made it typically became regulars
WAR a season if he sticks+0.5+1.0+2.7Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 3 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-10+1+218192021Age2022-23, age 18, 49 GP: +0.41 vs. his age group (0.22 NHL-equivalent points per game)2023-24, age 19, 63 GP: +0.22 vs. his age group (0.24 NHL-equivalent points per game)2024-25, age 20, 66 GP: +1.25 vs. his age group (0.46 NHL-equivalent points per game)2025-26, age 21, 54 GP: +0.52 vs. his age group (0.37 NHL-equivalent points per game)
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 26Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Jack Dugan2017 · #142 · at 2251%00Did not stick—
2Gustav Nyquist2008 · #121 · at 2246%261914Regular+2.67
3Mason Appleton2015 · #168 · at 2245%247467Regular+0.64
4Jimmy Vesey2012 · #66 · at 2244%304626Regular+0.47
5Tanner Laczynski2016 · #169 · at 2241%3856Did not stick—
6Victor Olofsson2014 · #181 · at 2241%188452Regular after 26—
7David Ullstrom2008 · #102 · at 2240%4949Did not stick—
8Corban Knight2009 · #135 · at 2239%2952Did not stick—
9Damien Riat2016 · #117 · at 2239%00Did not stick—
10Rem Pitlick2016 · #76 · at 2238%132132Did not stick—
Season by season
SeasonGPGAPtsPIM
2026-27AHL · Tucson Roadrunners43142
2025-26KHL · Dinamo Minsk5414152931
2024-25KHL · Dinamo Minsk6626184431
2023-24MHL · Dinamo-Shinnik Bobruysk41234
2023-24KHL · Dinamo Minsk6311112210
2022-23MHL · Dinamo-Shinnik Bobruysk102688
2022-23KHL · Dinamo Minsk39591414
2021-22Belarus Vysshaya · Neftekhimik Novopolotsk2724244840
2021-22Belarus · Khimik Novopolotsk354372
2020-21Belarus2 · Team Belarus U183445947
2019-20Belarus Vysshaya · Neftekhimik Novopolotsk4818294746
2018-19Belarus Vysshaya · Neftekhimik Novopolotsk2101110

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work