Defense · NSH · NCAA

Tommy Bleyl

Age: 18
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 174 lb
Shoots: R
Drafted: 2026, round 1, 31st overall
Born: USA

2026-27: NCAA · Michigan State Univ.
Games: 2
Goals: 0
Assists: 2
Points: 2

Prospect score · 2026-27

91/100

High end

48th of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

5th in the NSH system · 1st among its defensemen

+0.7WAR a season if he sticks

Outlook

NHL odds54%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26

Impact odds35%Better than the typical NHL regular among defensemen

Arrival2029-30The season his comps who made it typically became regulars

WAR a season if he sticks

+0.3+0.7+2.0Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 6 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age

Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#	Player	Match	NHL GP by 26	Career NHL GP	Outcome	WAR a season
1	Tony DeAngelo2014 · #19 · at 18	43%	340	489	Regular	+0.73
2	Michael Del Zotto2008 · #20 · at 18	40%	484	736	Regular	+0.44
3	Ryan Murphy2011 · #12 · at 18	38%	175	175	Did not stick	—
4	Jake Bean2016 · #13 · at 18	33%	261	277	Regular	+0.25
5	Samuel Girard2016 · #47 · at 18	33%	548	615	Regular	+1.52
6	Dmitry Kulikov2009 · #14 · at 18	30%	569	1045	Regular	+0.31
7	Jordan Schmaltz2012 · #25 · at 18	29%	42	42	Did not stick	—
8	Adam Clendening2011 · #36 · at 18	29%	90	90	Did not stick	—
9	Ryan Ellis2009 · #11 · at 18	29%	396	566	Regular	+2.16
10	Cam Dineen2016 · #68 · at 18	28%	38	38	Did not stick	—

Season by season

Season	GP	G	A	Pts	PIM
2026-27NCAA · Michigan State Univ.	2	0	2	2	2
2025-26QMJHL · Moncton Wildcats	63	13	68	81	33
2024-25USHL · Dubuque Fighting Saints	3	0	0	0	0
2023-24USHS-Prep · Albany Academy	27	9	11	20	0
2022-23USHS-NY · Burnt Hills-Ballston Spa	15	23	19	42	0
2021-22WYC U15 · Roc City Elite U15	6	2	1	3	2
2019-20QC Int PW · Mid-Fairfield Jr Rangers (PW)	6	0	1	1	2

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work