Noah Ostlund
Center · BUF · NHL

Noah Ostlund

Age
22
Height
5'11"
Weight
182 lb
Shoots
L
Drafted
2022, round 1, 16th overall
Born
SWE
2026-27
NHL · Buffalo Sabres
Games
8
Goals
2
Assists
4
Points
6

His NHL ratings and game log →

Prospect score · 2026-27
High end

NHL regular, measured on the prospect scale

6th among BUF players 23 and under

+0.8WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds89%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26
Impact odds47%Better than the typical NHL regular among forwards
ArrivalArrived76 NHL games so far
WAR a season if he sticks+0.3+0.8+1.3Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 8 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-2-10+1+215161718192021Age2019-20, age 15, 28 GP: -1.04 vs. his age group (0.03 NHL-equivalent points per game)2020-21, age 16, 10 GP: +0.78 vs. his age group (0.16 NHL-equivalent points per game)2021-22, age 17, 43 GP: -0.38 vs. his age group (0.10 NHL-equivalent points per game)2022-23, age 18, 37 GP: +0.47 vs. his age group (0.23 NHL-equivalent points per game)2023-24, age 19, 38 GP: +1.12 vs. his age group (0.37 NHL-equivalent points per game)2024-25, age 20, 45 GP: +0.60 vs. his age group (0.35 NHL-equivalent points per game)2025-26, age 21, 60 GP: +0.94 vs. his age group (0.45 NHL-equivalent points per game)
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 26Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Teuvo Teravainen2012 · #18 · at 2251%449833Regular+1.13
2Vladislav Namestnikov2011 · #27 · at 2251%425852Regular+0.94
3Sven Baertschi2011 · #13 · at 2249%291292Regular+0.97
4Anthony Beauvillier2015 · #28 · at 2248%550720Regular+0.66
5Tyson Jost2016 · #10 · at 2247%495564Regular+0.45
6Kyle Palmieri2009 · #26 · at 2246%422932Regular+1.63
7Cody Hodgson2008 · #10 · at 2246%328328Regular+0.78
8Joshua Ho-Sang2014 · #28 · at 2245%5353Did not stick—
9Nikolay Goldobin2014 · #27 · at 2245%125125Did not stick—
10Jack Roslovic2015 · #25 · at 2244%445603Regular+1.05
Season by season
SeasonGPGAPtsPIM
2026-27NHL · Buffalo Sabres82460
2025-26NHL · Buffalo Sabres6011162714
2025-26AHL · Rochester Americans737102
2024-25NHL · Buffalo Sabres80002
2024-25AHL · Rochester Americans4519173614
2023-24WJC-20 · Sweden U207371016
2023-24SHL · Växjö Lakers HC381211234
2023-24Champions HL · Växjö Lakers HC74372
2023-24AHL · Rochester Americans20112
2022-23WJC-20 · Sweden U2071342
2022-23HockeyAllsvenskan · Djurgårdens IF378182612
2021-22WJC-18 · Sweden U18646106
2021-22SHL · Djurgårdens IF110000
2021-22J20 Nationell · Djurgårdens IF U2032933426
2021-22J18 Nationell · Djurgårdens IF J1820440
2021-22Hlinka Gretzky Cup · Sweden U1850222
2020-21WJC-18 · Sweden U1851120
2020-21J20 Nationell · Djurgårdens IF U201078150
2020-21J18 Region · Djurgårdens IF U1842570
2019-20U16 SM · Djurgårdens IF U16319100
2019-20U16 Div.1 · Djurgårdens IF U1631450
2019-20TV-Pucken · Södermanland879162
2019-20J18 Elit · Djurgårdens IF J181527910
2019-20J18 Allsvenskan · Djurgårdens IF J181355104
2018-19WSI U15 · Sweden Selects U1553360
2018-19U16 Div.2 · Södertälje SK U16 313250
2018-19U16 Div.1 · Södertälje SK U16231018286
2018-19TV-Pucken · Södermanland61120
2017-18WSI U14 · Sweden Selects U14947110
2017-18U16 Div.1 · Södertälje SK U16 221120
2016-17WSI U13 · Sweden Selects U1370110

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work