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Mikhail Ilyin
Right wing · PIT · KHL

Mikhail Ilyin

Age
21
Height
6'3"
Weight
215 lb
Shoots
L
Drafted
2023, round 5, 142nd overall
Born
RUS
2026-27
AHL · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Games
4
Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Prospect score · 2026-27
High end

35th of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

1st in the PIT system · 1st among its forwards

+0.6WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds85%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26
Impact odds39%Better than the typical NHL regular among forwards
Arrival2028-29The season his comps who made it typically became regulars
WAR a season if he sticks+0.2+0.6+2.0Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 6 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-2-10+1+21617181920Age2021-22, age 16, 35 GP: -0.80 vs. his age group (0.06 NHL-equivalent points per game)2022-23, age 17, 49 GP: -0.39 vs. his age group (0.10 NHL-equivalent points per game)2023-24, age 18, 65 GP: +1.19 vs. his age group (0.31 NHL-equivalent points per game)2024-25, age 19, 64 GP: +0.78 vs. his age group (0.32 NHL-equivalent points per game)2025-26, age 20, 68 GP: +1.17 vs. his age group (0.45 NHL-equivalent points per game)
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 26Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Pavel Buchnevich2013 · #75 · at 2147%374680Regular+1.57
2Daniel Pribyl2011 · #168 · at 2147%00Did not stick—
3Nikolai Prokhorkin2012 · #121 · at 2145%4343Did not stick—
4Oskar Lindblom2014 · #138 · at 2142%336337Regular+0.84
5Jesper Fast2010 · #157 · at 2141%353703Regular+0.58
6Mark Stone2010 · #178 · at 2140%384775Regular+2.63
7Otto Koivula2016 · #120 · at 2140%2828Did not stick—
8Dominik Kubalik2013 · #191 · at 2139%202357Regular+1.41
9Riley Barber2012 · #167 · at 2139%1216Did not stick—
10Oscar Lindberg2010 · #57 · at 2138%252252Regular+0.37
Season by season
SeasonGPGAPtsPIM
2026-27AHL · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins41230
2025-26KHL · Severstal Cherepovets6814304418
2025-26AHL · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins50222
2024-25MHL · Almaz Cherepovets20442
2024-25KHL · Severstal Cherepovets647233014
2023-24KHL · Severstal Cherepovets6512172920
2022-23MHL · Almaz Cherepovets284222610
2022-23KHL · Severstal Cherepovets210222
2021-22Russia U17 · Severstal Cherepovets U1724480
2021-22NMHL · Metallurg Cherepovets104372
2021-22MHL · Almaz Cherepovets2546102
2020-21Russia U18 · Severstal Cherepovets U18171213256
2020-21Russia U16 · Severstal Cherepovets U162316334932

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work