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Matteo Costantini
Center · BUF · AHL

Matteo Costantini

Age
24
Height
6'0"
Weight
194 lb
Shoots
L
Drafted
2020, round 5, 131st overall
Born
CAN
2026-27
AHL · Rochester Americans
Games
4
Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3

His NHL ratings and game log →

Prospect score · 2026-27
Long shot

1108th of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

34th in the BUF system · 17th among its forwards

+0.8WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds<1%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26
Impact odds<1%Better than the typical NHL regular among forwards
Arrival—Too unlikely to stick for an arrival year to mean much
WAR a season if he sticks+0.1+0.8+2.0Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 0 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-2-10+11617181920212223Age2018-19, age 16, 57 GP: -0.50 vs. his age group (0.07 NHL-equivalent points per game)2019-20, age 17, 50 GP: -0.17 vs. his age group (0.12 NHL-equivalent points per game)2020-21, age 18, 37 GP: -0.59 vs. his age group (0.10 NHL-equivalent points per game)2021-22, age 19, 35 GP: -0.37 vs. his age group (0.15 NHL-equivalent points per game)2022-23, age 20, 25 GP: -1.21 vs. his age group (0.03 NHL-equivalent points per game)2023-24, age 21, 38 GP: -0.29 vs. his age group (0.21 NHL-equivalent points per game)2024-25, age 22, 40 GP: -0.67 vs. his age group (0.15 NHL-equivalent points per game)2025-26, age 23, 64 GP: -0.72 vs. his age group (0.15 NHL-equivalent points per game)
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 26Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Radoslav Illo2009 · #136 · at 2487%00Did not stick—
2Conner Bleackley2016 · #144 · at 2471%00Did not stick—
3Henri Ikonen2013 · #154 · at 2469%00Did not stick—
4Drake Rymsha2017 · #138 · at 2467%11Did not stick—
5Michael Eyssimont2016 · #142 · at 2466%55269Regular after 26—
6Nolan Vesey2014 · #158 · at 2465%00Did not stick—
7Igor Shvyrev2017 · #125 · at 2465%00Did not stick—
8Austin Wuthrich2012 · #107 · at 2464%00Did not stick—
9Wade Megan2009 · #138 · at 2464%315Did not stick—
10Graham Black2012 · #135 · at 2464%00Did not stick—
Season by season
SeasonGPGAPtsPIM
2026-27AHL · Rochester Americans41234
2025-26ECHL · Jacksonville Icemen311017274
2025-26AHL · Rochester Americans336394
2024-25NCAA · Western Michigan Univ.408152320
2023-24NCAA · Western Michigan Univ.3811203118
2022-23NCAA · Univ. of North Dakota252134
2021-22NCAA · Univ. of North Dakota35813214
2020-21USHL · Sioux City Musketeers377152212
2019-20OJHL · Buffalo Jr. Sabres5036326820
2018-19T1EHL 16U · Buffalo Jr. Sabres 16U AAA301418320
2018-19OJHL · Buffalo Jr. Sabres10000
2018-1916U AAA · Buffalo Jr. Sabres 16U AAA573435694
2017-18SCTA U16 · Niagara North Stars U16 AAA341217296

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work