Luke Osburn
- Age
- 20
- Height
- 6'1"
- Weight
- 181 lb
- Shoots
- L
- Drafted
- 2024, round 4, 108th overall
- Born
- USA
- 2026-27
- NCAA · Univ. of Wisconsin
- Games
- 4
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 1
- Points
- 2
Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 1 became full-time NHL players.
His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.
Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.
| # | Player | Match | NHL GP by 26 | Career NHL GP | Outcome | WAR a season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Rathbone2017 · #95 · at 20 | 54% | 28 | 28 | Did not stick | — |
| 2 | Dillon Simpson2011 · #92 · at 20 | 52% | 3 | 3 | Did not stick | — |
| 3 | Robbie Russo2011 · #95 · at 20 | 51% | 19 | 19 | Did not stick | — |
| 4 | Luc Snuggerud2014 · #141 · at 20 | 51% | 0 | 0 | Did not stick | — |
| 5 | Matt Grzelcyk2012 · #85 · at 20 | 48% | 234 | 597 | Regular | +0.47 |
| 6 | Louie Belpedio2014 · #80 · at 20 | 46% | 4 | 16 | Did not stick | — |
| 7 | Patrick McNally2010 · #115 · at 20 | 46% | 0 | 0 | Did not stick | — |
| 8 | Mark Friedman2014 · #86 · at 20 | 45% | 65 | 93 | Did not stick | — |
| 9 | Luke Green2016 · #79 · at 20 | 45% | 0 | 0 | Did not stick | — |
| 10 | Jesper Lindgren2015 · #95 · at 20 | 45% | 0 | 0 | Did not stick | — |
| Season | GP | G | A | Pts | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27NCAA · Univ. of Wisconsin | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 2025-26NCAA · Univ. of Wisconsin | 33 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 18 |
| 2024-25WJAC-19 · USA U19 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 2 |
| 2024-25USHL · Youngstown Phantoms | 55 | 10 | 31 | 41 | 18 |
| 2023-24USHL · Youngstown Phantoms | 60 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 36 |
| 2023-24USA-S17 · Michigan District | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 2022-23USA-S16 · Team Gold | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2022-23HPHL 16U · Compuware 16U AAA | 15 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 4 |
| 2021-22USA-S15 · Team Forest | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2021-22HPHL 15U · Compuware 15U AAA | 20 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
| 2020-21HPHL 14U · Compuware 14U AAA | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work