Left wing · DET · NCAA

JP Hurlbert

Age: 18
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 183 lb
Shoots: R
Drafted: 2026, round 1, 23rd overall
Born: USA

2026-27: NCAA · Univ. of Michigan
Games: 4
Goals: 1
Assists: 1
Points: 2

Prospect score · 2026-27

91/100

High end

47th of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

3rd in the DET system · 3rd among its forwards

+1.0WAR a season if he sticks

Outlook

NHL odds60%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26

Impact odds43%Better than the typical NHL regular among forwards

Arrival2029-30The season his comps who made it typically became regulars

WAR a season if he sticks

+0.1+1.0+2.0Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 7 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age

Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#	Player	Match	NHL GP by 26	Career NHL GP	Outcome	WAR a season
1	Kyle Connor2015 · #17 · at 18	56%	531	702	Regular	+1.98
2	Mathew Barzal2015 · #16 · at 18	55%	500	611	Regular	+1.43
3	Matt Puempel2011 · #24 · at 18	51%	87	87	Did not stick	—
4	Hunter Shinkaruk2013 · #24 · at 18	51%	15	15	Did not stick	—
5	Sven Baertschi2011 · #13 · at 18	50%	291	292	Regular	+0.97
6	Travis Konecny2015 · #24 · at 18	50%	564	728	Regular	+1.77
7	Jaden Schwartz2010 · #14 · at 18	50%	449	868	Regular	+1.64
8	Beau Bennett2010 · #20 · at 18	49%	200	200	Regular	+0.10
9	Vladislav Namestnikov2011 · #27 · at 18	49%	425	852	Regular	+0.94
10	Jeremy Morin2009 · #45 · at 18	49%	82	82	Did not stick	—

Season by season

Season	GP	G	A	Pts	PIM
2026-27NCAA · Univ. of Michigan	4	1	1	2	4
2025-26WHL · Kamloops Blazers	68	42	55	97	45
2025-26Prospects Challenge · Team CHL	3	1	0	1	0
2024-25USHL · USNTDP Juniors	34	16	15	31	38
2023-24YOG · USA U16	4	4	3	7	2
2023-24USA-S15 · Team Purple	4	3	2	5	0
2023-24US 16U Nationals · Dallas Stars Elite 16U AAA	4	3	1	4	2
2023-24T1EHL 16U · Dallas Stars Elite 16U AAA	12	8	4	12	4
2023-2416U AAA · Dallas Stars Elite 16U AAA	45	40	36	76	0
2022-23WSI U15 · ID Selects U15	8	8	4	12	0
2022-23US 14U Nationals · Dallas Stars Elite 14U AAA	4	5	4	9	4
2022-23T1EHL 14U · Dallas Stars Elite 14U AAA	4	6	1	7	4
2022-2314U AAA · Dallas Stars Elite 14U AAA	75	112	83	195	0
2021-22US 14U Nationals · Dallas Stars Elite 14U AAA	4	2	2	4	2
2021-22T1EHL 14U · Dallas Stars Elite 14U AAA	9	4	6	10	0
2020-2114U AA · Dallas Stars Elite 13U AAA	20	20	12	32	18
2017-18Brick Invitational · Team Manitoba	14	8	6	14	4

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work