Jake O'Brien
- Age
- 19
- Height
- 6'2"
- Weight
- 189 lb
- Shoots
- R
- Drafted
- 2025, round 1, 8th overall
- Born
- CAN
- 2025-26
- OHL · Brantford Bulldogs
- Games
- 53
- Goals
- 28
- Assists
- 65
- Points
- 93
Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 8 became full-time NHL players.
His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.
Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.
| # | Player | Match | NHL GP by 26 | Career NHL GP | Outcome | WAR a season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magnus Paajarvi2009 · #10 · at 19 | 48% | 387 | 467 | Regular | +0.26 |
| 2 | Ryan Strome2011 · #5 · at 19 | 48% | 491 | 923 | Regular | +0.29 |
| 3 | Michael Dal Colle2014 · #5 · at 19 | 47% | 112 | 112 | Did not stick | — |
| 4 | Cody Hodgson2008 · #10 · at 19 | 46% | 328 | 328 | Regular | +0.78 |
| 5 | Mathew Barzal2015 · #16 · at 19 | 45% | 500 | 611 | Regular | +1.43 |
| 6 | Nikolaj Ehlers2014 · #9 · at 19 | 45% | 523 | 764 | Regular | +2.42 |
| 7 | Luke Kunin2016 · #15 · at 19 | 45% | 434 | 496 | Regular | −0.13 |
| 8 | Dylan Larkin2014 · #15 · at 19 | 44% | 584 | 813 | Regular | +1.13 |
| 9 | Scott Glennie2009 · #8 · at 19 | 44% | 1 | 1 | Did not stick | — |
| 10 | Martin Necas2017 · #12 · at 19 | 44% | 519 | 526 | Regular | +2.10 |
| Season | GP | G | A | Pts | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26OHL · Brantford Bulldogs | 53 | 28 | 65 | 93 | 28 |
| 2024-25Prospects Challenge · Team CHL | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2024-25OHL · Brantford Bulldogs | 66 | 32 | 66 | 98 | 18 |
| 2024-25Hlinka Gretzky Cup · Canada U18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2023-24WHC-17 · Canada Red U17 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 2023-24OHL · Brantford Bulldogs | 61 | 13 | 51 | 64 | 10 |
| 2022-23OHL Cup · Toronto Jr. Canadiens U16 AAA | 7 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 2 |
| 2022-23GTHL U16 · Toronto Jr. Canadiens U16 AAA | 34 | 16 | 17 | 33 | 6 |
| 2018-19WSI U12 · Pro Hockey Hutson Selects U12 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 0 |
The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work