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Jacob Fowler
Goaltender · MTL · NHL

Jacob Fowler

Age
21
Height
6'1"
Weight
223 lb
Catches
L
Drafted
2023, round 3, 69th overall
Born
USA
2026-27
NHL · Montréal Canadiens
Games
3
Save pct
.906
GAA
1.91
Prospect score · 2026-27
Blue chip

15th of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

1st in the MTL system · 1st among its goalies

+2.4WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds85%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 100 games by 27
Impact odds61%Better than the typical NHL regular among goalies
Arrival2026-27The season his comps who made it typically became regulars
WAR a season if he sticks+0.4+2.4+5.0Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 9 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His save percentage, adjusted for league, against every goalie his age that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-2-10+1+2+31617181920Age2021-22, age 16, 18 GP: +1.63 vs. his age group2022-23, age 17, 40 GP: +0.71 vs. his age group2023-24, age 18, 39 GP: +2.02 vs. his age group2024-25, age 19, 35 GP: +1.60 vs. his age group2025-26, age 20, 17 GP: +1.01 vs. his age group
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 27: 100 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 27Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Braden Holtby2008 · #93 · at 2139%361513Regular+5.60
2Juuse Saros2013 · #99 · at 2236%286473Regular+3.37
3Robin Lehner2009 · #46 · at 2230%265364Regular+1.90
4Frederik Andersen2012 · #87 · at 2430%257552Regular+4.98
5Kevin Poulin2008 · #126 · at 2228%5050Did not stick—
6Petr Mrazek2010 · #141 · at 2328%263438Regular+2.35
7Carter Hart2016 · #48 · at 2228%245251Regular+0.64
8Thatcher Demko2014 · #36 · at 2326%219262Regular+2.28
9Matt Murray2012 · #83 · at 2226%246279Regular+2.28
10John Gibson2011 · #39 · at 2226%322568Regular+4.11
Season by season
SeasonGPRecordSv%GAASO
2026-27NHL · Montréal Canadiens32-1-0.9061.911
2026-27AHL · Laval Rocket21-1-0.9451.530
2025-26NHL · Montréal Canadiens179-6-2.9082.431
2025-26AHL · Laval Rocket27————
2024-25NCAA · Boston College3525-7-2.9401.637
2024-25AHL · Laval Rocket32-1-0.9142.320
2023-24WJC-20 · USA U2033-0-0.8892.590
2023-24NCAA · Boston College3932-6-1.9262.143
2022-23USHL · Youngstown Phantoms4027-9-3.9212.285
2021-22USHL · Youngstown Phantoms1811-4-1.9272.182
2021-22PHC · South Kent School 18U Prep40-0-0.9233.001
2021-2218U AAA · South Kent School 18U Prep210-0-0.9281.680
2020-2118U AAA · South Kent School 18U Prep220-0-0.9452.140
2019-20NAPHL 16U · Florida Alliance 16U AAA77-0-0.9321.730

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. Goalie projections carry the widest error on the site — goaltending develops late, and there are few goalies to learn from. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work