Egor Surin
Center · NSH · KHL

Egor Surin

Age
20
Height
6'2"
Weight
200 lb
Shoots
L
Drafted
2024, round 1, 22nd overall
Born
RUS
2026-27
KHL · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Games
15
Goals
5
Assists
5
Points
10
Prospect score · 2026-27
Blue chip

25th of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

1st in the NSH system · 1st among its forwards

+0.8WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds88%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26
Impact odds42%Better than the typical NHL regular among forwards
Arrival2027-28The season his comps who made it typically became regulars
WAR a season if he sticks+0.2+0.8+1.9Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 8 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-10+1+21617181920Age2022-23, age 16, 48 GP: -0.29 vs. his age group (0.09 NHL-equivalent points per game)2023-24, age 17, 43 GP: +0.40 vs. his age group (0.17 NHL-equivalent points per game)2024-25, age 18, 53 GP: +0.47 vs. his age group (0.23 NHL-equivalent points per game)2025-26, age 19, 57 GP: +1.64 vs. his age group (0.45 NHL-equivalent points per game)2026-27, age 20, 15 GP: +1.25 vs. his age group (0.46 NHL-equivalent points per game)
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 26Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Jesper Boqvist2017 · #36 · at 2055%387392Regular+0.81
2Joel Armia2011 · #16 · at 2050%295658Regular+0.47
3Jakub Vrana2014 · #13 · at 2049%346406Regular+1.45
4Marcus Davidsson2017 · #37 · at 2047%00Did not stick—
5Jakob Silfverberg2009 · #39 · at 2044%419820Regular+0.77
6Beau Bennett2010 · #20 · at 2043%200200Regular+0.10
7Jack Roslovic2015 · #25 · at 2043%445603Regular+1.05
8Pontus Aberg2012 · #37 · at 2043%132132Did not stick—
9Cody Hodgson2008 · #10 · at 2042%328328Regular+0.78
10Carl Grundstrom2016 · #57 · at 2042%292344Regular+0.20
Season by season
SeasonGPGAPtsPIM
2026-27KHL · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl15551012
2025-26KHL · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl5715223743
2024-25MHL · Loko Yaroslavl127101710
2024-25KHL · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl41771418
2023-24MHL · Loko Yaroslavl43233053108
2023-24KHL · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl30000
2022-23Russia U17 · Lokomotiv-2004 Yaroslavl U17752714
2022-23MHL · Loko Yaroslavl4812193140
2021-22Russia U17 · Lokomotiv-2004 Yaroslavl U1711120
2021-22Russia U16 · Lokomotiv-2004 Yaroslavl U162925325734
2020-21Russia U16 · Lokomotiv-2004 Yaroslavl U1611010

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work