WARpath BuffaloWARpath BuffaloWARpath BuffaloWARpath Buffalo
Dylan Garand
Goaltender · NYR · NHL

Dylan Garand

Age
24
Height
6'1"
Weight
182 lb
Catches
L
Drafted
2020, round 4, 103rd overall
Born
CAN
2026-27
NHL · New York Rangers
Games
5
Save pct
.915
GAA
2.05
Prospect score · 2026-27
High end

95th of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

4th in the NYR system · 1st among its goalies

+2.4WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds40%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 100 games by 27
Impact odds28%Better than the typical NHL regular among goalies
Arrival2027-28The season his comps who made it typically became regulars
WAR a season if he sticks+0.4+2.4+4.1Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 5 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His save percentage, adjusted for league, against every goalie his age that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-2-10+1+216171819202122Age2018-19, age 16, 27 GP: -0.65 vs. his age group2019-20, age 17, 42 GP: +0.71 vs. his age group2020-21, age 18, 18 GP: +0.32 vs. his age group2021-22, age 19, 45 GP: +1.42 vs. his age group2022-23, age 20, 32 GP: -0.94 vs. his age group2023-24, age 21, 39 GP: -0.67 vs. his age group2024-25, age 22, 39 GP: +0.67 vs. his age group
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 27: 100 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 27Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Philipp Grubauer2010 · #112 · at 2342%174407Regular+3.37
2Kevin Poulin2008 · #126 · at 2235%5050Did not stick—
3Petr Mrazek2010 · #141 · at 2235%263438Regular+2.35
4Laurent Brossoit2011 · #164 · at 2334%82141Regular after 27—
5Matt Hackett2009 · #77 · at 2332%2626Did not stick—
6Braden Holtby2008 · #93 · at 2130%361513Regular+5.60
7Adin Hill2015 · #76 · at 2430%136216Regular+0.44
8Juuse Saros2013 · #99 · at 2230%286473Regular+3.37
9Nathan Lieuwen2011 · #167 · at 2329%77Did not stick—
10Antoine Bibeau2013 · #172 · at 2429%44Did not stick—
Season by season
SeasonGPRecordSv%GAASO
2026-27NHL · New York Rangers53-2-0.9152.051
2025-26NHL · New York Rangers32-0-1.9481.620
2025-26AHL · Hartford Wolf Pack36————
2024-25WC · Canada11-0-01.0000.001
2024-25AHL · Hartford Wolf Pack3920-10-8.9132.733
2023-24AHL · Hartford Wolf Pack3916-17-5.8983.032
2022-23AHL · Hartford Wolf Pack3213-14-0.8943.013
2021-22WJC-20 · Canada U2066-0-0.9251.980
2021-22WHL · Kamloops Blazers4534-9-1.9252.164
2020-21WJC-20 · Canada U2010-0-0.8003.000
2020-21WHL · Kamloops Blazers1815-3-0.9212.153
2020-21AHL · Hartford Wolf Pack20-1-0.8393.680
2019-20WHL · Kamloops Blazers4228-10-3.9212.214
2018-19WHL · Kamloops Blazers2711-7-3.9022.941
2018-19WHC-17 · Canada Red U1742-1-0.9302.330
2017-18WHL · Kamloops Blazers31-2-0.9053.140
2017-18CSSHL U18 · Delta Hockey Academy U18 Prep2215-5-0.9312.124
2016-17CSSHL U15 · Delta Hockey Academy U15 Prep G1313-0-0.9591.154

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. Goalie projections carry the widest error on the site — goaltending develops late, and there are few goalies to learn from. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work