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Drew Commesso
Goaltender · CHI · NHL

Drew Commesso

Age
24
Height
6'2"
Weight
190 lb
Catches
L
Drafted
2020, round 2, 46th overall
Born
USA
2026-27
AHL · Rockford IceHogs
Games
2
Save pct
.885
GAA
3.11
Prospect score · 2026-27
High end

90th of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

5th in the CHI system · 1st among its goalies

+0.8WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds57%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 100 games by 27
Impact odds17%Better than the typical NHL regular among goalies
Arrival2028-29The season his comps who made it typically became regulars
WAR a season if he sticks+0.4+0.8+3.4Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 5 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His save percentage, adjusted for league, against every goalie his age that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-2-10+1+216171819202122Age2018-19, age 16, 24 GP: -0.76 vs. his age group2019-20, age 17, 11 GP: +1.52 vs. his age group2020-21, age 18, 11 GP: +0.09 vs. his age group2021-22, age 19, 28 GP: +0.08 vs. his age group2022-23, age 20, 34 GP: +0.18 vs. his age group2023-24, age 21, 38 GP: +0.02 vs. his age group2024-25, age 22, 39 GP: +0.52 vs. his age group
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 27: 100 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 27Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Christopher Gibson2011 · #49 · at 2347%1616Did not stick—
2Alex Nedeljkovic2014 · #37 · at 2337%141221Regular+0.51
3Tom McCollum2008 · #30 · at 2335%33Did not stick—
4Malcolm Subban2012 · #24 · at 2335%8687Did not stick—
5Magnus Hellberg2011 · #38 · at 2534%426Did not stick—
6Matt Hackett2009 · #77 · at 2333%2626Did not stick—
7Adin Hill2015 · #76 · at 2232%136216Regular+0.44
8Tristan Jarry2013 · #44 · at 2231%206328Regular+0.83
9Jordan Binnington2011 · #88 · at 2331%125379Regular+3.38
10Anders Nilsson2009 · #62 · at 2229%105161Regular+1.28
Season by season
SeasonGPRecordSv%GAASO
2026-27AHL · Rockford IceHogs20-2-0.8853.110
2025-26NHL · Chicago Blackhawks32-1-0.9182.311
2025-26AHL · Rockford IceHogs37————
2024-25NHL · Chicago Blackhawks20-1-0.8463.360
2024-25AHL · Rockford IceHogs3918-15-4.9112.544
2023-24AHL · Rockford IceHogs3818-16-4.9062.652
2022-23WC · USA11-0-01.0000.000
2022-23NCAA · Boston Univ.3424-8-0.9132.462
2021-22OG · USA22-0-0.9641.001
2021-22NCAA · Boston Univ.2813-11-3.9142.521
2020-21NCAA · Boston Univ.116-3-1.9153.000
2019-20USHL · USNTDP Juniors118-2-0.9172.012
2019-20NTDP · U.S. National U18 Team3018-7-1.9202.053
2018-19WHC-17 · USA U1741-3-0.8992.480
2018-19USHL · USNTDP Juniors245-12-4.8893.481
2018-19NTDP · U.S. National U17 Team4314-19-4.8863.243
2017-18USHS-Prep · St. Sebastian's School210-0-0.9182.130
2017-18MSHL 16U · Cape Cod Whalers 16U AAA70-0-0—1.860
2017-18MHSL U16 · Cape Cod Whalers 16U AAA70-0-0—1.860
2016-17USHS-Prep · St. Sebastian's School80-0-0.9321.770

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. Goalie projections carry the widest error on the site — goaltending develops late, and there are few goalies to learn from. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work