Chase Reid
Defense · SEA · OHL

Chase Reid

Age
18
Height
6'3"
Weight
195 lb
Shoots
R
Drafted
2026, round 1, 7th overall
Born
USA
2026-27
NCAA · Michigan State Univ.
Games
2
Goals
0
Assists
3
Points
3
Prospect score · 2026-27
Blue chip

19th of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

1st in the SEA system · 1st among its defensemen

+0.7WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds90%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26
Impact odds51%Better than the typical NHL regular among defensemen
Arrival2027-28The season his comps who made it typically became regulars
WAR a season if he sticks+0.2+0.7+1.5Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 9 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-2-10+1+2+3+4151617Age2023-24, age 15, 10 GP: -1.48 vs. his age group (0.00 NHL-equivalent points per game)2024-25, age 16, 39 GP: +3.05 vs. his age group (0.18 NHL-equivalent points per game)2025-26, age 17, 45 GP: +2.11 vs. his age group (0.19 NHL-equivalent points per game)
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 26Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Adam Larsson2011 · #4 · at 1852%5471020Regular+0.18
2Alex Pietrangelo2008 · #4 · at 1839%5391087Regular+1.44
3Jake Bean2016 · #13 · at 1839%261277Regular+0.25
4Dmitry Kulikov2009 · #14 · at 1837%5691045Regular+0.31
5Michael Del Zotto2008 · #20 · at 1835%484736Regular+0.44
6Ryan Murphy2011 · #12 · at 1835%175175Did not stick—
7Zach Werenski2015 · #8 · at 1835%486647Regular+1.10
8Noah Hanifin2015 · #5 · at 1834%678838Regular+0.95
9Charlie McAvoy2016 · #14 · at 1834%504574Regular+1.50
10Seth Jones2013 · #4 · at 1833%658920Regular+0.96
Season by season
SeasonGPGAPtsPIM
2026-27NCAA · Michigan State Univ.20332
2025-26WJC-20 · USA U2052244
2025-26Prospects Challenge · Team CHL31012
2025-26OHL · Soo Greyhounds4518304830
2024-25OHL · Soo Greyhounds397334032
2023-24USHL · Waterloo Black Hawks100000
2022-23T1EHL 15U · Victory Honda 15U AAA1225712
2022-23OHL Cup · TPH Thunder 16U40114
2022-2315U AAA · Victory Honda 15U AAA6313213444
2021-22T1EHL 14U · Victory Honda 14U AAA80444
2019-20QC Int PW · Detroit Honeybaked40000

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work