Left wing · DET · WHL

Carter Bear

Age: 19
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 190 lb
Shoots: L
Drafted: 2025, round 1, 13th overall
Born: CAN

2026-27: AHL · Grand Rapids Griffins
Games: 3
Goals: 1
Assists: 1
Points: 2

Prospect score · 2026-27

92/100

High end

42nd of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

2nd in the DET system · 2nd among its forwards

+1.0WAR a season if he sticks

Outlook

NHL odds77%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26

Impact odds41%Better than the typical NHL regular among forwards

Arrival2027-28The season his comps who made it typically became regulars

WAR a season if he sticks

−0.1+1.0+1.4Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 10 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age

Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#	Player	Match	NHL GP by 26	Career NHL GP	Outcome	WAR a season
1	Dylan Larkin2014 · #15 · at 19	67%	584	813	Regular	+1.13
2	Luke Kunin2016 · #15 · at 19	66%	434	496	Regular	−0.13
3	Mathew Barzal2015 · #16 · at 19	59%	500	611	Regular	+1.43
4	Colin White2015 · #21 · at 19	57%	320	323	Regular	+0.31
5	Teuvo Teravainen2012 · #18 · at 19	55%	449	833	Regular	+1.13
6	Jacob Josefson2009 · #20 · at 19	54%	315	315	Regular	−0.15
7	Beau Bennett2010 · #20 · at 19	52%	200	200	Regular	+0.10
8	Cody Hodgson2008 · #10 · at 19	50%	328	328	Regular	+0.78
9	Jakub Vrana2014 · #13 · at 19	50%	346	406	Regular	+1.45
10	Alexander Wennberg2013 · #14 · at 19	50%	551	876	Regular	+1.01

Season by season

Season	GP	G	A	Pts	PIM
2026-27AHL · Grand Rapids Griffins	3	1	1	2	0
2025-26WJC-20 · Canada U20	2	0	0	0	0
2025-26WHL · Everett Silvertips	53	36	41	77	56
2024-25WHL · Everett Silvertips	56	40	42	82	77
2024-25Prospects Challenge · Team CHL	1	0	0	0	2
2023-24WHL · Everett Silvertips	67	25	32	57	26
2022-23WHL · Everett Silvertips	19	1	1	2	0
2022-23MU18HL · Winnipeg Thrashers U18 AAA	31	32	27	59	24
2021-22WHL Cup · Team Manitoba	5	0	1	1	2
2021-22MU18HL · Winnipeg Thrashers U18 AAA	39	25	17	42	34
2020-21WAAA U15 · Winnipeg Hawks U15 AAA	4	5	3	8	4
2019-20WAAA U14 · Winnipeg Hawks U14 AAA	30	39	18	57	32
2018-19WSI U13 · Midwest Selects U13	9	4	3	7	0
2017-18WSI U12 · Midwest Selects U12	7	4	0	4	0

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work