WARpath BuffaloWARpath BuffaloWARpath BuffaloWARpath Buffalo
Avery Hayes
Right wing · PIT · NHL

Avery Hayes

Age
23
Height
5'10"
Weight
189 lb
Shoots
R
Drafted
Undrafted
Born
USA
2026-27
AHL · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Games
4
Goals
2
Assists
4
Points
6
Prospect score · 2026-27
High end

88th of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

7th in the PIT system · 4th among its forwards

+0.9WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds48%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26
Impact odds30%Better than the typical NHL regular among forwards
Arrival2026-27The season his comps who made it typically became regulars
WAR a season if he sticks+0.2+0.9+1.8Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 6 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-2-10+1+21516171819202122Age2018-19, age 15, 64 GP: -0.67 vs. his age group (0.05 NHL-equivalent points per game)2019-20, age 16, 42 GP: +0.23 vs. his age group (0.12 NHL-equivalent points per game)2021-22, age 18, 66 GP: +0.33 vs. his age group (0.21 NHL-equivalent points per game)2022-23, age 19, 65 GP: -0.01 vs. his age group (0.21 NHL-equivalent points per game)2023-24, age 20, 29 GP: -0.62 vs. his age group (0.13 NHL-equivalent points per game)2024-25, age 21, 60 GP: +0.18 vs. his age group (0.30 NHL-equivalent points per game)2025-26, age 22, 58 GP: +0.40 vs. his age group (0.38 NHL-equivalent points per game)
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 26Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Erik Haula2009 · #182 · at 2352%342845Regular+1.00
2Andreas Johnsson2013 · #202 · at 2349%246259Regular+0.85
3Danny O'Regan2012 · #138 · at 2343%2530Did not stick—
4Conor Garland2015 · #123 · at 2342%322561Regular+1.78
5Seth Griffith2012 · #131 · at 2342%7980Did not stick—
6Troy Terry2015 · #148 · at 2342%350488Regular+1.31
7Dmytro Timashov2015 · #125 · at 2341%4545Did not stick—
8Marcus Kruger2009 · #149 · at 2341%398520Regular+0.20
9Scott Wilson2011 · #209 · at 2440%187193Did not stick—
10Andrew Mangiapane2015 · #166 · at 2340%342561Regular+1.67
Season by season
SeasonGPGAPtsPIM
2026-27AHL · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins42462
2025-26NHL · Pittsburgh Penguins1650512
2025-26AHL · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins4224153948
2024-25AHL · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins6023194258
2023-24ECHL · Wheeling Nailers10000
2023-24AHL · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins296396
2022-23OHL · Brantford Bulldogs6543347752
2022-23Memorial Cup · Peterborough Petes53034
2021-22OHL · Brantford Bulldogs6641387937
2021-22Memorial Cup · Brantford Bulldogs53252
2020-21Slovakia2 · HK Levice143690
2019-20USA-S17 · Team Red55490
2019-20OHL · Brantford Bulldogs421514298
2019-20Hlinka Gretzky Cup · USA U1841122
2018-19USA-S16 · Team Orange50222
2018-19OHL · Brantford Bulldogs647111822
2017-18USA-S15 · Team White30330
2017-18HPHL 16U · Honeybaked 16U AAA1964104
2017-1816U AAA · Honeybaked 16U AAA502223450
2016-17HPHL 14U · Compuware 14U AAA2067136
2015-16HPHL 13U · Compuware 13U AAA1246102
2014-15QC Int PW · Detroit Compuware20220

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work