Ashton Schultz
Center · BUF · USHL

Ashton Schultz

Age
19
Height
5'11"
Weight
190 lb
Shoots
R
Drafted
2025, round 6, 167th overall
Born
USA
2025-26
USHL · Chicago Steel
Games
32
Goals
9
Assists
13
Points
22
Prospect score · 2026-27
Depth

489th of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

18th in the BUF system · 6th among its forwards

+0.8WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds9%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26
Impact odds4%Better than the typical NHL regular among forwards
Arrival—Too unlikely to stick for an arrival year to mean much
WAR a season if he sticks+0.1+0.8+2.0Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 2 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-2-10+1+215161718Age2022-23, age 15, 51 GP: -0.44 vs. his age group (0.06 NHL-equivalent points per game)2023-24, age 16, 57 GP: -0.27 vs. his age group (0.09 NHL-equivalent points per game)2024-25, age 17, 58 GP: -0.18 vs. his age group (0.12 NHL-equivalent points per game)2025-26, age 18, 32 GP: -0.45 vs. his age group (0.12 NHL-equivalent points per game)
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 26Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Nick Campoli2017 · #158 · at 1972%00Did not stick—
2Michael Parks2010 · #149 · at 1970%00Did not stick—
3Anders Bjork2014 · #146 · at 1967%225225Regular+0.46
4Brendan O'Donnell2010 · #156 · at 1966%00Did not stick—
5Jere Sallinen2009 · #163 · at 1966%00Did not stick—
6Cristiano Digiacinto2014 · #170 · at 1966%00Did not stick—
7Blake Pietila2011 · #129 · at 1964%3838Did not stick—
8Travis Boyd2011 · #177 · at 1963%85299Regular after 26—
9Maxwell Tardy2009 · #202 · at 1963%00Did not stick—
10Troy Terry2015 · #148 · at 1961%350488Regular+1.31
Season by season
SeasonGPGAPtsPIM
2025-26USHL · Chicago Steel329132241
2024-25USHL · Sioux Falls Stampede5814253912
2023-24USHS-MN · Minnetonka High2823345710
2023-24USHL · Sioux Falls Stampede110110
2023-24USA-S17 · Minnesota District63361
2023-24UMHSEHL · Team TDS Transportation1812132514
2023-24MNHP · B17 - Section 232570
2022-23USHS-MN · Minnetonka High311422364
2022-23USA-S16 · Team Kelly51120
2022-23UMHSEHL · Team TDS Transportation20312154
2022-23MNHP · B16 - White (Final 54)61450
2021-22USHS-MN · Minnetonka High244596
2021-22USA-S15 · Team Royal42130
2021-22MNHP · B15 - District 634370
2020-2115U AA · Chaska/Chanhassen Bantam AA392143640
2020-2114U AAA · Minnesota Blades 14U AAA1266120

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work