Alexander Zharovsky
Right wing · MTL · KHL

Alexander Zharovsky

Age
19
Height
6'1"
Weight
163 lb
Shoots
L
Drafted
2025, round 2, 34th overall
Born
RUS
2026-27
KHL · Salavat Yulaev Ufa
Games
16
Goals
2
Assists
6
Points
8
Prospect score · 2026-27
High end

28th of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

2nd in the MTL system · 1st among its forwards

+1.1WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds68%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26
Impact odds50%Better than the typical NHL regular among forwards
Arrival2028-29The season his comps who made it typically became regulars
WAR a season if he sticks+0.7+1.1+2.4Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 6 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-10+1+2+3+416171819Age2023-24, age 16, 35 GP: +0.11 vs. his age group (0.11 NHL-equivalent points per game)2024-25, age 17, 45 GP: +0.21 vs. his age group (0.15 NHL-equivalent points per game)2025-26, age 18, 59 GP: +2.80 vs. his age group (0.49 NHL-equivalent points per game)2026-27, age 19, 16 GP: +0.93 vs. his age group (0.34 NHL-equivalent points per game)
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 26Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Kyle Connor2015 · #17 · at 1943%531702Regular+1.98
2Sebastian Aho2015 · #35 · at 1942%598764Regular+2.45
3Artturi Lehkonen2013 · #55 · at 1937%412667Regular+0.84
4Aleksi Heponiemi2017 · #40 · at 1936%2525Did not stick—
5Jaden Schwartz2010 · #14 · at 1934%449868Regular+1.64
6Nikolaj Ehlers2014 · #9 · at 1934%523764Regular+2.42
7Joey Hishon2010 · #17 · at 1934%1313Did not stick—
8Alex DeBrincat2016 · #39 · at 1933%614703Regular+2.13
9Hunter Shinkaruk2013 · #24 · at 1933%1515Did not stick—
10Nic Petan2013 · #43 · at 1933%154170Did not stick—
Season by season
SeasonGPGAPtsPIM
2026-27KHL · Salavat Yulaev Ufa1626812
2025-26KHL · Salavat Yulaev Ufa5916264238
2024-25MHL · Tolpar Ufa4524265030
2023-24Russia U17 · Vityaz Podolsk U17141482222
2023-24NMHL · Khors Podolsk3525224718
2022-23Russia U16 · Vityaz Podolsk U163327336018
2018-19WSI U12 · CSKA Moskva Selects U1292350

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work