WARpath BuffaloWARpath BuffaloWARpath BuffaloWARpath Buffalo
Alex Bump
Left wing · PHI · NHL

Alex Bump

Age
22
Height
6'0"
Weight
195 lb
Shoots
L
Drafted
2022, round 5, 133rd overall
Born
USA
2026-27
NHL · Philadelphia Flyers
Games
3
Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Prospect score · 2026-27
High end

89th of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

4th in the PHI system · 3rd among its forwards

+0.5WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds65%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26
Impact odds19%Better than the typical NHL regular among forwards
Arrival2026-27The season his comps who made it typically became regulars
WAR a season if he sticks−0.1+0.5+1.9Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 8 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-10+1+215161718192021Age2019-20, age 15, 25 GP: -0.42 vs. his age group (0.06 NHL-equivalent points per game)2020-21, age 16, 37 GP: -0.54 vs. his age group (0.07 NHL-equivalent points per game)2021-22, age 17, 58 GP: -0.16 vs. his age group (0.12 NHL-equivalent points per game)2022-23, age 18, 48 GP: -0.25 vs. his age group (0.14 NHL-equivalent points per game)2023-24, age 19, 38 GP: +0.25 vs. his age group (0.24 NHL-equivalent points per game)2024-25, age 20, 42 GP: +0.28 vs. his age group (0.29 NHL-equivalent points per game)2025-26, age 21, 53 GP: +0.59 vs. his age group (0.38 NHL-equivalent points per game)
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 26Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Anders Bjork2014 · #146 · at 2273%225225Regular+0.46
2Joseph Blandisi2012 · #162 · at 2253%101101Did not stick—
3Connor Brown2012 · #156 · at 2252%380676Regular+1.13
4Emil Bemstrom2017 · #117 · at 2252%242242Regular+0.20
5Adam Gaudette2015 · #149 · at 2252%220367Regular+0.02
6Andrei Loktionov2008 · #123 · at 2252%155155Did not stick—
7Jesper Fast2010 · #157 · at 2250%353703Regular+0.58
8Troy Terry2015 · #148 · at 2249%350488Regular+1.31
9Casey Cizikas2009 · #92 · at 2249%413985Regular+0.24
10Tobias Rieder2011 · #114 · at 2248%434478Regular+0.24
Season by season
SeasonGPGAPtsPIM
2026-27NHL · Philadelphia Flyers30000
2026-27AHL · Lehigh Valley Phantoms33142
2025-26NHL · Philadelphia Flyers175492
2025-26AHL · Lehigh Valley Phantoms3611152622
2024-25NCAA · Western Michigan Univ.4223244714
2024-25AHL · Lehigh Valley Phantoms21230
2023-24NCAA · Western Michigan Univ.3814223627
2022-23WJAC-19 · USA U1961014
2022-23USHL · Omaha Lancers4814253964
2021-22USHS-MN · Prior Lake High3148358344
2021-22USHL · Omaha Lancers271161732
2021-22MNHP · B18 - Sections 2&640220
2020-21USHS-MN · Prior Lake High191319328
2020-21UMHSEHL · Team SIT Financial Services1858134
2019-20USHS-MN · Prior Lake High2511213232
2019-20MNHP-16 · B16 - Section 230000
2018-19MNBEL 14U · MN Penguins 15U AAA1473100

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work