Alberts Smits
Defense · NYR · NHL

Alberts Smits

Age
18
Height
6'3"
Weight
208 lb
Shoots
L
Drafted
2026, round 1, 5th overall
Born
LVA
2026-27
NHL · New York Rangers
Games
9
Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Prospect score · 2026-27
Blue chip

21st of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

1st in the NYR system · 1st among its defensemen

+0.9WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds92%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26
Impact odds54%Better than the typical NHL regular among defensemen
Arrival2027-28The season his comps who made it typically became regulars
WAR a season if he sticks−0.1+0.9+1.6Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 9 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-10+1+21617Age2024-25, age 16, 41 GP: -0.25 vs. his age group (0.05 NHL-equivalent points per game)2025-26, age 17, 38 GP: +1.60 vs. his age group (0.16 NHL-equivalent points per game)
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 26Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Rasmus Ristolainen2013 · #8 · at 1829%608823Regular−0.09
2Mikhail Sergachev2016 · #9 · at 1829%552638Regular+1.16
3Griffin Reinhart2012 · #4 · at 1829%3737Did not stick—
4Morgan Rielly2012 · #5 · at 1828%572959Regular+0.96
5Noah Hanifin2015 · #5 · at 1828%678838Regular+0.95
6Oliver Ekman-Larsson2009 · #6 · at 1828%5761145Regular+1.58
7Ivan Provorov2015 · #7 · at 1828%614778Regular+0.88
8Seth Jones2013 · #4 · at 1827%658920Regular+0.96
9Derrick Pouliot2012 · #8 · at 1827%202226Regular−0.04
10Mathew Dumba2012 · #7 · at 1827%462748Regular+0.95
Season by season
SeasonGPGAPtsPIM
2026-27NHL · New York Rangers90004
2025-26WJC-20 · Latvia U2051452
2025-26U20 SM-sarja · Jukurit U20564108
2025-26OG · Latvia40222
2025-26Liiga · Jukurit38671320
2025-26DEL · EHC München50112
2024-25WJC-18 · Latvia U1851232
2024-25U20 SM-sarja · Jukurit U20214592
2024-25U18 SM-sarja · Jukurit U182010102050
2024-25Liiga · Jukurit91124
2023-24U20 Suomi-sarja · Karhu-Kissat U20 Akatemia725712
2023-24U20 Mestis · Karhu-Kissat U2025551044
2023-24U18 Mestis · Karhu-Kissat U1813991848
2022-23U19 Suomi-sarja · Karhu-Kissat U1910110
2022-23U18 Mestis · Karhu-Kissat U18820214
2022-23U16 SM-sarja · HIFK U162834765
2022-23U16 Mestis · Karhu-Kissat U16513434
2021-22U16 Mestis · Karhu-Kissat U1680118
2021-22Latvia U17 · Baltu Vilki U1740000

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work