Adam Novotny
- Age
- 18
- Height
- 6'1"
- Weight
- 205 lb
- Shoots
- L
- Drafted
- 2026, round 1, 24th overall
- Born
- CZE
- 2026-27
- OHL · Peterborough Petes
- Games
- 9
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 7
- Points
- 11
Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 7 became full-time NHL players.
His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.
Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.
| # | Player | Match | NHL GP by 26 | Career NHL GP | Outcome | WAR a season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stefan Noesen2011 · #21 · at 18 | 82% | 199 | 486 | Regular after 26 | — |
| 2 | Colin White2015 · #21 · at 18 | 65% | 320 | 323 | Regular | +0.31 |
| 3 | David Pastrnak2014 · #25 · at 18 | 63% | 592 | 840 | Regular | +3.16 |
| 4 | Brett Howden2016 · #27 · at 18 | 63% | 431 | 498 | Regular | +0.14 |
| 5 | Jacob Josefson2009 · #20 · at 18 | 63% | 315 | 315 | Regular | −0.15 |
| 6 | John McFarland2010 · #33 · at 18 | 62% | 3 | 3 | Did not stick | — |
| 7 | Brock Boeser2015 · #23 · at 18 | 62% | 479 | 638 | Regular | +1.14 |
| 8 | Ryan O'Reilly2009 · #33 · at 18 | 61% | 651 | 1240 | Regular | +1.70 |
| 9 | Emile Poirier2013 · #22 · at 18 | 61% | 8 | 8 | Did not stick | — |
| 10 | Adam Erne2013 · #33 · at 18 | 61% | 294 | 424 | Regular | +0.10 |
| Season | GP | G | A | Pts | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27OHL · Peterborough Petes | 9 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 2025-26WJC-20 · Czechia U20 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 2025-26Prospects Challenge · Team CHL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-26OHL · Peterborough Petes | 58 | 34 | 31 | 65 | 22 |
| 2024-25WJC-20 · Czechia U20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 2024-25WJC-18 · Czechia U18 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| 2024-25Hlinka Gretzky Cup · Czechia U18 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 2024-25Czechia U20 3 · Stadion Novy Bydzov U20 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 40 |
| 2024-25Czechia U20 · Mountfield HK U20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-25Czechia · Mountfield HK | 41 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 2023-24WHC-17 · Czechia U17 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 2023-24Czechia U20 · Mountfield HK U20 | 48 | 32 | 27 | 59 | 30 |
| 2023-24Czechia U17 · Mountfield HK U17 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 2 |
| 2023-24Czechia · Mountfield HK | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2022-23ODM · Kralovehradecky kraj U15 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2022-23Czechia U20 · Mountfield HK U20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2022-23Czechia U17 · Mountfield HK U17 | 23 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 16 |
| 2021-22WSI U15 · Czech Knights U15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 2021-22MMCR · Kralovehradecky kraj U15 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 2021-22Czechia U17 · Mountfield HK U17 | 20 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work